i was at a panel on criminal justice inequities in Mass – specifically the problem with CORIs (if anyone is curious I’m happy to post about this) – and someone threw down this theory as an aside, and I thought it was really cute:
axiomatic:
crime committed in public space is more likely to be apprehended than crime committed in private space
people with more access to private space will shift a greater percentage of their criminal activity to private space
assume:
all individuals commit crime equally, regardless of wealth
wealthier people have greater access to private space
therefore:
poorer people will seem to commit more crime, because they are more likely to be apprehended
–
empirically, this seems reasonable: in wealthy neighborhoods, such petty crimes as minor drug use, underage drinking / disorderly conduct, schoolyard fighting, etc., take place in secluded areas – in someone’s backyard, in the woods, in parents’ houses. for poorer persons, who either live on the street (where there is no private space), or live in housing projects or tiny efficiencies, it is difficult to indulge in these activities behind closed doors, ergo they’re more likely to be caught.
when we get into more serious criminality, this model breaks down, but given that juvenile offenders are more likely to be serious criminals in part because of the devastating effects that a juvie arrest can have on job prospects, college admissions and aid, immigration, etc., this is still clearly a factor.
also, all of this ignores the tremendous amount of racism in our policing; take the same argument, but now imagine that the poor neighborhoods are also policed thrice as hard, and it’s even more striking.